RS-05: Forecasting for ICT Supply Chains: Devices, Spares, and Capacity Planning under Volatility

How this disrupts the business model (ICT lens)

·        Creates new revenue lines (platforms/APIs/managed services) or protects margin (FinOps, cost‑to‑serve visibility).

·        Shifts transformation from one‑off projects to productised, repeatable operating rhythms.

·        Strengthens trust as a differentiator (governance, resilience, compliance‑by‑design).

What changes in the operating model

·        Multi‑horizon forecasting improves decisions across weeks/months

·        Scenario planning tests constraints (supplier delays, regional events, demand spikes)

·        Explainability reduces manual overrides and improves planner trust

Expected value

·        Reduced stockouts and urgent shipping costs

·        Lower obsolete inventory and better service levels

·        Faster planning cycles and fewer planning disputes

GCC localisation notes (fill in)

·        [INSERT: data residency / regulatory considerations]

·        [INSERT: Arabic/English support and content needs]

·        [INSERT: procurement and vendor onboarding requirements]

References (supporting frameworks/sources)

·        Modern forecasting research and competition learnings (M‑series)

LINKS → Use Case: UC-03: Demand Forecasting & Scenario Planning | Services: SVC-01: Data & Analytics/SVC-05: Artificial Intelligence